Current Forecast of 6 Month US Treasury Rate
Units: Percent per Year, Average of Month. Not Seasonally Adjusted.
Solid Line = Actual Values. Dashed Line = Predicted Values.
Forecast Values for 6 Month US Treasury Rate
How This Forecast is Produced
The forecast of the indicator above is produced using Multichannel Singular Spectrum Analysis, or MSSA.
The forecast is made by using MSSA to decompose the time series into a trend component and many cyclical components. The decomposed components of the time series are then projected forward in time.
The U.S. Treasury Rates
The rates, or yields, on U.S. Treasury securities is the interest rate paid on bills, notes, or bonds offered by the U.S. Treasury. The rates are determined by interest rates bid at auctions conducted by the U.S. Treasury. The rates are also determined by the prices of treasury bills, notes or bonds traded in the secondary market.